Looks like the West is in for an interesting dilemma:
The human race is approaching the point where it’s no longer reproducing enough to expand the global headcount. In the world’s biggest economies — the U.S., China, Japan and Germany — it’s already happening or will soon. Economists say these countries could see slower economic growth unless they increase their working-age populations by accepting immigrants, possibly from regions with higher fertility rates, like parts of Asia and Africa. Lower fertility rates — the number of live births per woman — could also threaten safety-net programs like pensions and health care.
On the one hand, you have career-oriented women who delay having children. The more intelligent a woman is, the more likely she’ll pursue an education and start a career. That certainly slows down the replacement rate.
But the other side of the equation is simply that modern technology has allowed dumb people to survive and have more babies.
Also, notice how this crisis was leveraged to advocate pro-immigration policies.
It’s a politically charged mess that no one wants to talk about. It seems we’re headed towards one of two outcomes:
- Society will become collectively dumber
- Some catastrophe will kill off everyone unfit for survival
Scenario #2 could likely be caused by Scenario #1.
We’re in for some interesting times.
In the meanwhile, remember that your responsibility as a reasonably intelligent man is to ensure the survival of yourself and your family. “Survival” is not the same thing as “security.” The more precautions and risks you take now, the more likely you are to survive. Ideally, you want to be anti-fragile.
Antifragility in a nutshell means what will you do if you:
- Lose your job?
- Get threatened with violence?
- Lose your wife?
- Get disowned by your friends and family?
- Discover your beliefs are wrong?
Once you can cope with the worst, you find opportunity in every change.